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Ethereum: How would interest and fractional reserve banking work in a limited money supply?

Februari 13, 2025 | by Gusri Efendi

Ethereum: How Interest and Fractional Reserve Banking Could Work in a Limited Money Supply

When faced with the complexities of a limited money supply in the digital age, it is important to consider how alternative financial systems like Ethereum could work. One intriguing concept that has received a lot of attention is interest and fractional reserve banking. In this article, we will explore how these principles can work in an economy where the money supply is limited.

What are fractional reserve banks?

Fractional reserve banking is a type of banking system where depository institutions (banks) require only 10% of their deposits to be held in reserve and issue the remaining 90% as loans. This allows banks to provide credit more freely because they do not need to hold a lot of physical cash.

Loans with Interest

Now let’s add interest-bearing loans to our scenario. Let’s say Bitcoin lenders (banks, creditors, investors) issue loans with a fixed interest rate. As the total supply of Bitcoin approaches 21 million, the lending institution will receive more and more loan applications, so the demand for loans will increase.

How ​​would interest and fractional reserve banking work in a limited money supply?

In a limited money supply economy, interest-bearing loans could work as follows:

  • Increased demand for loans: As the economy grows, people’s incomes may increase, which will increase the demand for loans from banks.
  • Higher borrowing costs: As the total supply of Bitcoin approaches 21 million, lenders may have to raise lending rates (interest rates) to remain profitable, and borrowers may face higher borrowing costs due to increased competition and liquidity constraints.
  • Increased economic activity: Higher interest-based lending rates could boost economic growth by encouraging borrowing and investment as individuals and businesses seek to finance new ventures or upgrade existing assets.
  • Fractional reserve banking implications: If the economy is growing rapidly, a fractional reserve banking system could accommodate increased demand for credit. Lenders can offer more loans at lower interest rates while still maintaining their 10% reserve requirement.

Potential limitations and concerns

While interest-based lending can boost economic growth, there are potential limitations and concerns:

  • Risk of asset bubbles: Increased lending activity could lead to asset price bubbles, as borrowers may take on excessive debt to invest in assets such as real estate or stocks.
  • Systemic Risk: A large number of fractional reserve banks could pose systemic risk if the overall economy were to experience a downturn, which could lead to widespread bank failures and financial instability.
  • Inefficient Credit Allocation: Interest-bearing loans could lead to inefficient credit allocation, as lenders focus on lending to those who can afford it rather than directing it to more productive investments.

Conclusion

In an economy with a tight money supply, interest-bearing loans could work by raising the cost of borrowing and stimulating economic growth by increasing activity. However, this system also poses potential risks and concerns, such as asset bubbles and systemic risk. To mitigate these challenges, alternative financial systems, such as Ethereum, can be built with built-in safeguards such as:

  • Centralized Lending Pools: Using blockchain technology to create a centralized lending pool, allowing for more efficient credit allocation and risk reduction.
  • Dynamic Interest Rates: Implementing dynamic interest rates that adjust to market conditions to reduce the impact of asset price bubbles.
  • Regular Economic Surveillance

    : Establishing regular economic monitoring mechanisms to identify potential systemic risks early and take corrective action.

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